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         How-to Guides | Ask the Experts

The Six Financial C's: Character, Capacity To Pay, Capital, Collateral, Conditions and Confidence
CHARACTER The degree to which a borrower feels a moral obligation to pay his/her debts, measured by the credit and payment history.
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The SBA's Most Frequently Asked Questions
Does the SBA have business grants? No.
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The Synthetic Lease: Hybrid Facility Financing
How do you get the tax benefits of facility ownership without having anything appear on the balance sheet? You might consider a synthetic lease.
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E-Commerce 101: Online Transaction Basics
If you are planning to open an online storefront and process credit card transactions through your site, you will need to talk to your host and your bank to make sure you have the following five elements in place to properly handle these transactions.
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Smart Spending Now: No Substitute for an Early Start
In a teleconference, Lou Marcoccio, Year 2000 research director at the Gartner Group.
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Financial Institutions: Covering All the Bases
On Feb 17, the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council issued a set of guidelines to help banks, credit unions, and savings and loans to keep their customers informed about their Year 2000 status and contingency plans.
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Handling Collections
When it comes to collecting on overdue accounts, a small business can be at a disadvantage.
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Getting Ready for Taxes
If you are like most small business owners, the past few months have been filled with calls to the accountant in an attempt to organize finances and minimize tax liability.
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Survival Depends on Cash, Not Just Profit
Obviously, a small business will not last long if it is not making a profit.
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Charge Wisely -- Without a Lot of Debt
Many startups rely on credit cards to finance the business until the cash begins rolling in.
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Small Business Financing: VC's and Banks
Looking for money to start or support your small business? Avoid one of the biggest, and most common, mistakes -- don't ask the right people for the wrong kind of financing. There are several categories of small-business funders, including small-scale venture capitalists, "angels," banks, factors, and "irrational investors." It is very important to present potential funders the right kind of proposals. Don't make a pitch for venture capital from a bank, for example, and don't ask a factor for the kind of generous terms that an irrational investor will offer.
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How Much Capital Is Enough? One Small Business Capitalization Model
Undercapitalization is the single biggest reason new businesses fail. So how much capital is enough? Many tools for measuring needed capital are out there, but here's one that works particularly well for many small service and retail businesses. Using this model, you'll need to begin with enough capital for a full year of operations. That's a common enough benchmark, but managing that initial capital is the real trick.
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Small Business Financing: Factors, Angels, and "Irrational Investors"
Knowing the ground rules that different kinds of small business lenders follow is tremendously important if your goal is to go out there and find some money. There are several categories of small-business funders, including small-scale venture capitalists, "angels," banks, factors, and "irrational investors." It is very important to present potential funders the right kind of proposals. Don't make a pitch for venture capital from a bank, for example, and don't ask a factor for the kind of generous terms that an irrational investor will offer.
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Six Questions When Choosing a Clearing Service
"The payment processing arena is like an onion -- you just keep peeling back the layers and find that there is more," says Colleene Isaacs, vice president of business services with Segue Systems, a leading clearance service providers. To help peel the onion with the least amount of tears, businesses should consider the following questions when looking for a transaction clearing system to integrate into their e-commerce plans
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Factoring - Bootstrap Financing
Factoring isn't borrowing money, it's selling your receivables for cash. It's a more expensive way of raising money than normal financing, but provides quick cash on no collateral or earnings. Financing monthly receivables of $100,000 would cost about $12,000 in yearly interest through a conventional line of credit -- if you qualify. Factoring those same receivables could cost anywhere from $36,000 to $60,000 a year.
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Introduction to the RBFF Financial Guide
The Regional Business Financing Forum "RBFF" is a non-profit, all volunteer organization composed of the key commercial financing firms and organizations (public and private) doing business in the Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia areas. The RBFF focus is to: centralize all relevant, practical information and data on the financial firms doing business in the region; increase the access to and expedite the match-up between available business financial resources and companies that need expansion capital; provide a central forum for financial firms to develop and establish new business financial products, ventures, and joint efforts to meet the needs of regional business firms; and directly contribute to the expansion of business and economic growth for all regional firms at all stages of development.
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Overview of Financing Options
It's a fact of life; your company needs capital to conduct business. Of course the best way to obtain it is through sales. Sometimes, however, you need other, more immediate sources. Different sources may be appropriate for different stages of growth. Start-ups often rely on family members, friends, or local associates. As you grow, you may need to turn to alternate sources such as Venture Capital. Once you have achieved a financial track record, you can turn to other sources such as Asset-Based Lending or Commercial Loans. This section will help you to explore your financing options to meet your needs. We have listed descriptions of some of the major sources of financing options and when to use them. As this site develops, we will provide a more in-depth analysis of these options as well as a list of companies to contact for your financing needs.
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Bank Financing for the Government Contractor
All government contractors regardless of their size or maturity, are dependent on adequate working capital/cash flow to support growth. Commercial banks are interested in providing that working capital financing. Even more, banks also are available as financial advisor-partners to assist in developing a financial strategy designed to meet a company's revenue and profit goals. Most important to the contractor, over the long term, bank financing provides the most stable and least expensive source of capital.
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The Benefits of SBA Financing and How to Qualify
What is an SBA Loan? An SBA Loan is a small business loan made by a local bank that is in turn guaranteed by the U.S. Small Business Administration. If the borrower defaults on the loan, the SBA will reimburse the bank for a percentage of the loan loss. The existence of the SBA's guarantee is an inducement for the bank to make loans on terms it would otherwise not make available.
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Commercial Receivables Insurance
Every business owner seeks to minimize the financial risks inherent in his business operations and available profit opportunities. Every business capital source in fact will not only review your company for the degree of management success in this area, but in some cases will absolutely require it as a condition of financing. Examples abound -- key-man life insurance, liability and comprehensive type coverages for all hard assets, equipment, autos, and fixtures, surety and bonding for key employees, and life insurance to the extent of any mortgage indebtedness.
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Owner Occupied Financing
"To be or not to be" was the philosophical question facing Hamlet in Shakespeare's famous play.
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Commercial Real Estate Financing Through Insurance Company End Loans
Commercial real estate financing with respect to "investment properties" with third party "income streams" (as contrasted with owner-occupied transactions - "OR") have been and continue to be available.
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The 504 Loan -- Intelligent Financing for the 21st Century
The 504 Loan is an economic development financing program for small and medium sized businesses that need to invest in space or purchase machinery and equipment to further enhance the growth of their business.
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The Well-Structured Lease -- Your Link To Today's Technology
For each industry, indeed, for each and every company doing business today, there are advanced technologies or improved ways of accessing information that can make a positive impact on the success of that business.
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Factoring --The Creative Alternative Financing Mechanism
The word "factor" comes from the Latin "factare" meaning "to make or to do".
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Introduction to Investment Banking
Investment bankers function as intermediaries in financial transactions.
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Alternatives to Taking the Big Step -- Taking Your Company Public
For the small to medium range company without the experience or expertise, the concept of taking the enterprise to the public market is often considered the ultimate corporate success.
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Rule 504 -- Small Capitalist Tool
As part of its program to simplify access to the capital markets, the SEC adopted the Small Business Initiatives ("SBI") in 1992.
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Selling a Business -- Your Chance To Reap The Rewards
One way or another, every business owner ultimately confronts the question, "What should I do with my business?" And the question inevitably raises a host of others: Should I sell to my employees? To a competitor across town? To a larger business? Should I turn the business over to my children? Should I move on to other interests, or retain a role in the business's future? Like those that arise at other stages of a business career, these questions are challenging.
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Private Equity Alternatives
New and developing enterprises are sometimes faced with the uncertain and difficult process of obtaining capital to build or grow their business.
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A Venture Capital Analysis -- Frequently Asked Questions
Why should I raise venture capital? What alternatives exist? How do I find venture capital? Which industries attract venture capital? Does my company qualify for venture capital? What should I expect from the due diligence process? How will a venture capitalist value my company? How will an investment be structured? Why should I raise Venture Capital? Most companies seek to raise venture capital to support or stimulate economic growth.
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Financing Through a Small Business Investment Company
What is an SBIC? Contacting an SBIC How are SBIC financings structured? Types of investments SSBICs SBA guaranteed loans According to the National Association of Small Business Investment Companies, SBICs have disbursed over $9 billion to over 65,000 small businesses in the U.
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E-Commerce -- Flush With Cash
Venture capitalists are pumping billions into Internet ventures.
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The Changing Financial Market Place
ECNs (Electronic Communication Networks) are rapidly changing the worlds Financial markets. Across the globe and across virtually all types of securities, ECNs are taking market share from more traditional exchanges. This week it seems many of these stories that have been brewing for several years have come to the forefront in bonds, derivatives, and in oil.
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Royal Bank Chiefs Defend Bonuses
One reason occasionally cited to do a takeover is that of empire building. Buying another firm expands your control and likely your paycheck. Such have been the protests at Royal Bank of Scotland. Last year Royal acquired National Westminster (NatWest). This year the bosses are having to defend their higher pay. One big reason is that the merger has been quite successful.
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A Windfall From North of the Border Turns Sour
In the US a firm can engage in a tax-free spin-off (that is give the new firm to existing shareholders in the form of a dividend) so long as the parent firm has at least an 80% stake. (That is the firm is spinning off at least 80% of the entire new firm). Most firms that do a spin-off make sure that the deal qualifies for tax-free status. But because different nations have different tax codes, international investing can bring with it a higher tax-bill. For example Bell Canada’s spin-off of Nortel qualified as a tax-free event for Canadian investors but not for US investors who got left being forced to pay a large tax bill.
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Focus: Index Mutual Funds
Index funds are boring but they are effective, but do you want to read about them? If so The New York Times reviewed three books that all have the same conclusion; Indexing is good for your wealth! (gee it sounds like a Finance Class!) An amazing statistic from the article: since 1985 only 5 of 534 stocks funds have beaten the Vanguard Index fund and only three have done so on a risk adjusted basis!
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Money and Banking
Does the US stock market seem volatile of late? Goldman Sachs Chairman Henry Paulsen attributes some of the volatility to Regulation FD. He believes it is contributing to large price swings because firms are cutting back on their disclosures thus inadvertently increasing information asymmetries.
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International Finance
Japan imposed emergency tariffs on some Chinese goods in an effort to protect domestic farmers from low cost imports. These temporary barriers are allowed by the WTO if they remain for less than four years. The purpose of this is to allow Japanese farmers to cut costs and get ready to compete against lower cost manufacturers. Of course as in any tariff, Japanese consumers will be paying a higher price in the interim. A cynic would stress the timing of this politically popular move just prior to Japanese elections.
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Economics
First the numbers: US jobless claims rose, retail sales were down, consumer confidence fell, and for the first time in 5 years wholesale prices fell. The good news? Well if you believe the stock and bond markets, we may have seen the worst of the slowdown. Bonds fell suggesting a possibly strengthening economy.
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How much is a dollar worth?
How much is a dollar worth? I am sue many of you have heard your grandparents say that they remember when a candy bar was 5 cents or gas was 25 cents a gallon. Economic History Services provides a cool site that lets you see the impact of inflation.
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Energy Markets
There will be more energy crises and the world can not longer count on drilling to find enough oil, that is the finding of a far-reaching Council on Foreign Relations report. The report also suggests that the US should not count of OPEC production increases as OPEC is running at closer to capacity than at any time in recent history. It urges the need for a plan to deal with these problems that faces the issues and does not try to sugarcoat the shortages. Critics are concerned that the report will provide President Bush more ammunition in his plan to open up Arctic drilling.
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Corporate Finance
The board of directors is elected by shareholders to look out for the interests of shareholders. Us the small board and lack of independence at Amazon a part of their problems? (good description of inside and outside directors)
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On the Contrary: Money Can Motivate. So Can Love of the Job.
Is pay a motivator, a reward, neither or both? You decide. The New York Times has a good discussion on the issue.
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The Great P/E Debate
Ratios and multiples are often used to value a stock. However, there are many problems. For example, PE ratios change with interest rates, different firms (and different countries) calculate earnings differently, and growth must be taken into account. Patrick Dorsey of Morningstar lays out some of these problems in an interesting and informative piece.
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Mexico peso ends lower
When the US stock market falls many foreigners that sell convert their dollars and repatriate the currency. The reverse also works. On Thursday as US equity markets soared, the US dollar climbed significantly against the Mexican Peso.
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Forward Thinking about Reverse Mortgages
Reverse mortgages are when the bank pays you every month instead of you paying the bank. How? You are effectively selling the house to the bank but they do not take possession until after you leave the house (generally through death).
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Where Have All the Dealers Gone?
Swaps are a type of derivative contract where the two parties agree to what amounts to a series of forward contracts. As such each party assumes some credit risk (the risk that the other party will renege). As a consequence of consolidation of financial intermediaries (notably banks) the remaining banks are taking up a larger percentage of the market and this concentration has many worried. One solution may be to have exchange traded swaps whereby the intermediary could sell the contract (thereby reducing exposure)
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The Fed Rate Cut
This week it was easy: the Fed rate cut and subsequent market climb. First the statement
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Analysis: On the Fed Rate Cut
One question that warrants attention is why did the Fed cut rates if in fact the economy was turning around. The BBC suggests that the cut was the result of a mounting consumer debt load. For example, did you know that the average American has $8,000 in credit card debt alone? (FWIW While no doubt still mind-boggling, this is a clear case of when the median is a more relevant statistic as the average is apt to be biased high by outliers). In a worse case scenario this debt could not be repaid in a recession and would mushroom into a sort of a financial sector meltdown. Thus cutting rates keeps the economy healthy and allows debt to be repaid. Furthermore, due to variable rates charged on many credit cards, borrowers will be able to continue to spend and thus help the economy even more. CNNfn reports that the rate cut will save Americans at least $1.2 billion over the next year alone.
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Corporate Finance
Owning shares comes with certain rights. One of these rights is the right to vote your shares for matters of importance to the firm. Thus, you can oust management, approve takeovers, and elect directors. At times these elections, called proxy contests, can become heated. Shareholders at Independence Federal Savings Bank voted this week in one such heated contest that had all of the drama of a soap opera. On one side is the widow of the founder, on the other side is the founder’s daughter and current CEO.
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Ring Fencing: 2001
What is ring fencing you ask? It is the idea that separate corporations, even under the same parent, are not responsible for the debts of the other business units. Thus a holding company can have several well-financed corporations that are shielded from the sick subsidiary. Of course this does create conflicts of interest. For example, as soon as it becomes apparent that bankruptcy at one unit is likely, the parent will want to transfer as many assets out of the sick division as possible.
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Investing: Short Selling
Shorting a stock means to borrow the shares from someone else, sell it, and then after it falls in value, buy it back and return it. This can only be done if the original investor (who owns the stock) has decided to hold the stock 'in street name.' In street name shares are held for the investor by the broker who then keeps track of who owns what shares. This week Microstrategy asked its investors to not hold their shares in street name because it makes it too easy for shorters.
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The Economy, The Yield Curve And You!
Hat’s off to Dismal.com’s Micheal Burt for a great article on the yield curve. The yield curve is a graphical representation of the yield to maturity of various bonds of differing times to maturity. The yield curve is generally classified as upward sloping, downward sloping, or flat. (note the three main hypotheses to explain the yield curve are Liquidity preference where investors have to be coaxed (though a higher yield) to buy long term bonds, market segmentation (where the markets for the various types of bonds are separate), and expectations theory (where the implied forward rates suggest whet the market thinks future rates will be). For the first time in roughly half a year the yield curve has gone to upward sloping which suggests that an economic turn around may be here. However, as the article points out, many things other than investor inflation expectations are playing a role in the yield curve and any forecast of the economy based off a yield curve is difficult at best.
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SEC Head Addresses Analyst Issue
The SEC’s interim chairperson Laura Unger spoke out against conflicts of interests among stock analysts. The classic example is the often-discussed issue of the investment-banking arm influencing retail analysts. Firms are supposed to keep the two separate with what are called Chinese-walls, but these walls are notoriously porous.
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Broadband Trading
Is broadband trading the next big thing? So far the trading in 'time on the internet' is pretty slow, but its potential and promise is huge. One thing holding it back is the development of standardized contracts and a more advanced infrastructure, but Enron-Broadband is working on both of these problems.
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International Finance: ADR's
ADRs (American Depository Receipts) are a means of allowing foreign investors to buy shares in a company without the company having to go through the often difficult process of having shares listed in the foreign lands. ADRs are not something new, they have been around since the late 1920s. As the Moscow Times reports, there are three levels of ADRs 'Level 1 allows shares to be traded over the counter without raising new capital, level 2 gives access to exchange trading and level 3 is used to raise new capital through the placement of new shares on an exchange.' Each move up carries with it additional costs ranging from $40,000 for level one to $500,000 for level three. The catalyst for this article is the Bank of New York is facing new challenges from Deutsche Bank in the listing of Russian ADRs.
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Globalization, Quebec, Protests, And You!
From the meetings of the America Summit in Quebec, to protests in cities around the nation (including in Buffalo), to strikes in India, globalization continued to be debated this week. In Quebec, the scene of the most widespread protests, anti-Globalization protesters clashed with police and even stalled the opening of the America’s Summit by a day. The Summit was the sight of talks to create a free-trade zone for the entirety (Cuba excepted) of the Western Hemisphere. In spite of the protests, officials did agree to go on and reconfirmed the 2005 self-imposed deadline. Why the protests? Many reasons. From some who fear environmental controls will wane as trade barriers fall, to others who fear too-large of multinational corporations, to others who feel that the pursuit of profits will harm the individual worker. Are the protesters correct? Yes and no, but overall no. Free trade generally makes everyone better off but the transition can be a painful one as many are laid off before the final positive outcome is realized..
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Commercial Paper Ratings
Most of you have heard of bond ratings, but fewer of you may have heard of commercial paper ratings. Commercial paper is short-term unsecured debt instruments that large firms sell as a form of short-term financing. This week rating agency Fitch issued new criteria on the ratings that are designed to reflect the changes in liquidity that can come about when financially sound firms take a hit. Firms now need to have more backup capacity to get through possible liquidity crunches. While the article does not say them by name, this is likely in response to Xerox’s problems last year when they were locked-out of the commercial paper market. The new requirements are a good example of the types of firms (industrial) that have greater debt capacity.
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Investments, Markets, And The BUY!
So much for Chinese Walls. The best proof yet as to why there are so many more BUY recommendations than Sell recommendations. An amazing 88% of the nearly 1000 analysts surveyed said they fear reprisals for giving sell recommendations. And it appears there may be good reason for the fear, 31% of the firms surveyed in the other part of this study said they would not use certain investment bankers if their analysts had issued sell recommendations.
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Best advice? DIVERSIFY!
It is not surprising given this year’s roller coaster market, that volatility is up. However you may not have known how much! The average movement in the S&P has been 1.25% the highest since it has been tracked in 1950! With the aforementioned volatility some are questioning whether they have the stomach to take the ups and downs of the stock market. Best advice? DIVERSIFY! Diversification lowers the overall riskiness of the portfolio and as this article points out can even offer higher returns than a group of US large firms stocks.
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Predicting Growth
Predicting growth is one of the most important things to do in pricing stock, but unfortunately, it is also one of the more difficult things. How can growth be predicted? The traditional academic way is to take the plowback ratio times ROE. More advanced ways include regression, looking at industry growth rates, and of course the old fashioned cross your fingers and guess. Whatever the way, analysts often get it wrong.
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Nasdaq, Becoming Corporation, Plans an Offering of Its Shares
The Nasdaq announced plans for its own IPO. The market is expected to sell shares of itself publicly sometime next year. The fact that the market planned on going public is not new as it has been rumored for months (years in some circles) but it and other major US exchanges have never followed through on these rumors. (The NYSE had plans in 1999 but have postponed these plans indefinitely.)
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International Finance
Many nations try very hard to maintain a fixed currency exchange ratio. Doing so reduces the risks of currency movements in the SHORT TERM, but can lead to larger price movements when the central bank’s actions are dwarfed by the size of the market and the Central bank must abandon its pegged exchange rate. This may be happening now in Malaysia as the central bank is reportedly running low on reserves. A better system? Let the currency float and let market forces correctly value the currency. Yes it is painful but in the long run the root problem is solved.
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Purchase Power Parity
Purchase power parity is not a perfect fit. Purchase power parity is one of the equilibrium conditions that influence exchange rates. It is based on the idea of the law of one price. However it is not an exact fit in that in the short ad intermediate term, inflation can differ from expectations and that portion of the equilibrium is broken. For example, since 1996 Mexican inflation has been 187% greater than inflation in the US. However, the dollar has only strengthened by 101%. Thus, Mexicans can buy relatively more in the US than they could only a few years ago. One problem with this is that with the Peso over valued investors are hesitant to invest in spite of Mexico being a lucrative market, so says Trinity University economics professor Jorge Gonzalez.
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Dr. Dre jacked for $20 Mil.?
Dr. Dre has settled his lawsuit with PricewaterhouseCoopers. The rapper-MTV personality sued the accounting firm for not keeping better track of his money. He accused the firm of allowing (and even helping in some reports) others to take money from Dr. Dre’s accounts. The reported (albeit unofficial) amount of the settlement was $15 million. Dre is still demanding an apology and is supposedly not in it for the money.
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Cash Flow
Why is cash flow so important? One reason is that it is less susceptible to management’s earning games.
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Just how low have some interest rates fallen?
Derivatives? Investments? Corporate? Convertible bonds can be thought of as a combination of a straight coupon bond and a call option on the firm’s equity. Recently several firms have issued convertible bonds with rates as low as 0%! How is that possible? The value of the conversion feature, which is effectively a call option, has increased with the volatility of the underlying stock. (Remember the value of a call increase with volatility).
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Corporate Finance
Shell is trying to take over Barrett Energy Resources in a hostile bid. However, like any unwilling target, Barrett is looking for someone to come save them. One potential white knight was unmasked unintentionally when a reported was inadvertently patched in to the wrong conference call and ended up listening into a board meeting! The mistake led Oklahoma-based Williams Company to be identified as a leading contender for Barrett. Stay tuned. Shell has already raised their bid and appears willing to fight. (This article is also worthwhile as it shows some of the factors that lead to making bids: relationships with Shell, fit, as well as financial flexibility.)
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Bonds' Message of Hope
Many firms issued bonds this week as spreads between corporate bonds and Treasury bonds narrowed on the feeling that maybe the economy will rebound and that the worst is likely to be behind us. Firms thus rushed into the market top try to take advantage of this opportunity.
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Investments: Delisting Stocks
Slate asks and answers the question of what happens when a stock is delisted. Short answer is that the firm can contest the delisting (to generally no avail) and the shares will then be able to trade on the OTC bulletin board market or as a 'pink-sheet' either way liquidity drops and shareholders are hurt.
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Energy Markets
In his soundest criticism yet of conservation VP Dick Cheney said that conservation will not suffice as a national energy policy. Bush and Cheney have long been pushing for increased drilling as well as more coal and nuclear production. In a related story, Ford Motors came out and came close to calling for increased standards on emissions and conservation.
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Accounting News: Cost Vs. Current Cost
I have to admit that it takes quite a bit for me to say wow about an accounting story, but this one deserves a WOW. Why? There is now talk as to whether accountants should abandon the time honored historical cost means of recording assets for a current cost means. Of course the problem with this change (should it occur which is unlikely) is that it would open the door for more accounting tricks and games.
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Andersen Settles in Sunbeam Lawsuit
Andersen settles for 110 m in sunbeam lawsuit stemming from its bankruptcy when Al Dunlop was at the helm. This is the second largest settlement ever (Ernst and Young’s paid more for their role in Cendant’s problems.)
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SEC's Disclosure Rule Causing Angst Behind Closed Doors
Does Regulation FD (Fair Disclosure) make the market more efficient? The purpose of the rule is to level the playing field by making the information available to everyone at the same time. However, one of the unintended consequences has been that some firms are holding back information. Therefore the price does not reflect this still private information. (If anyone is interesting in pursuing this with me I have several ideas on how to test it. Most notably with event studies designed to test whether the market responses to public announcements are now greater to than in pre-FD days.)
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$11.9 Billion WorldCom Deal Sets Record
What do you do to sell a large amount of something? You lower the price. This is what Worldcom did and the result was a quick sale of $11.9 Billion in bonds (the amount was raised from the $7 billion first reported). The bonds were priced nearly 250 basis points above Treasuries with a comparable maturity. From a teaching perspective the deal was interesting not only due to its size but also because the bonds were sold globally and denominated in dollars, Euros, and British Pounds and had various maturities.
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International Finance
To paraphrase China's Minister of Information Industry Wu Jichuan: Bubbles are not good for economy because they represent mispricing which leads in inefficient asset allocation. For example, with too high of stock price, (i.e. too low of a cost of capital) firms will invest in what seem like positive NPV projects only to find that when the cost of capital returns to its true level, the project is in fact value-lowering. (Indeed this is one reason why some firms argue that book values should be used even though this practice brings with it many more problems than it generally solves.)
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Investments: QQQ
ETFs (Electronically Traded Funds) have been a huge success. The biggest success is in what has been nicknamed Cubes (QQQ). These are the replication of the Nasdaq 100. Contrary to the predictions of many, these Cubes remained very successful (as measured by volume) even when the Nasdaq was falling significantly. The success has led to a debate as to the consequences of the ETF success. Some (including Jim Cramer) are worried that this success is detrimental to the underlying shares because it can be faster to trade the Cubes than the underlying stocks which in turn leads to pricing discrepancies. Additionally, you can short sell ETFs easier than you can the underlying stocks. On the other side is Georgetown FinanceProfessor Jim Angel who holds that the volatility in the markets is being expressed through the ETFs and the ETFs are not causing the volatility.
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Tax-Managed Funds
Tax-managed funds are mutual funds that try to maximize their investors after-tax returns and not their pre-tax returns. This tax-reduction is done by trading infrequently so as to not incur capital gains.
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Fed cuts rates again
Obviously it has been widely reported (and was widely expected) but the story with the largest consequences is probably the Fed’s fifth rate cut this year. The Fed cuts its target Fed funds rate 50 more basis points. This predictably led banks to cut their lending rates which it is hoped will spur on investments and hence the economy.
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US 30-, 15-yr mortgage higher after Fed cuts rate
While the Fed did cut short-term rate targets, it is useful to remember that all interest rate moves do not result in a shift of the yield curve (the curve showing yields of different maturities). Cutting rates leads to a faster growing economy, which is often associated with higher interest rates. Thus, the rate cut (coupled with this week's CPI release) lead long term rates slightly higher. For example the yield on the average thirty-year fixed rate mortgage climbed to 7.14% (which is still 1.5% lower than last year).
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Corporate Finance
Free Donuts!!! A day after reporting record earnings, Krispy Kreme gave away free donuts to draw attention to its listing on the NYSE. In listing on the NYSE, Krispy Kreme followed what for years had been the traditional life-cycle for a stock: begin trading on the Nasdaq and then switch once you can meet the more stringent NYSE listing requirements. Krispy Kreme's CEO mentioned greater name recognition as a reason for the switch: "All the premier brands are listed on the NYSE and we feel that that is where Krispy Kreme should be." This is a PR as well as financial loss for the Nasdaq who has been trying to convince corporations that trading costs are as low on the Nasdaq as on the NYSE. (The stock was up 20% on the two announcements.)
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SEC Accuses Former Bagel Execs of Fraud
Bad bagels? Well at least some bad accounting practices at Manhattan Bagel. The SEC is accusing two former bagel executives of inflating the price of the company’s stock by releasing fraudulent financial statements. The two execs, Chairman Allan Boren and President Eric Cano, sold shares (making a reported $13 million) prior to restating earnings.
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Money for Nothing
Slate, and in particular Rob Walker, were really in a groove this week. In the first of two great articles (see the Wachovia-Suntrust-First Union story below as well), Walker reports that George Shaheen, the former CEO of Webvan, will receive a minimum of $375,000 a year for life from the internet grocer. These payments come after Shaheen stepped aside from the firm after a two-year stint as CEO. During his reign, the stock fell so far it is now being delisted.
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Shareholders and Management in a Battle of Banks
Trying to steal away Wachovia from suitor First Union, Suntrust made a hostile bid for Wachovia. Interestingly, Suntrust had reportedly approached Wachovia with a friendly deal late last year only to be turned down. First Union and Wachovia then agreed to a friendly, low-premium deal (read that as management approved) whereby existing management would keep their jobs.
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Small business access to capital
Financing of small business is different than the financing of large business. For one thing the fixed cost of issuance and the larger information asymmetries often make it difficult, if not economically unwise, to raise money publicly. For this reason banks play a much larger role in the financing of smaller firms than large firms. As the economy has slowed many economists and businessperson alike have feared that banks will cut back on credit in order to assure a sound balance sheet. However, this cut back can act as a credit crunch effectively locking some firms out of the market. The Fed’s Roger Ferguson stated in a speech this week that while there is some evidence of banks tightening their lending policies, he sees a comparable drop in loan demand and in total he does not see a credit crunch. (The speech also gives some fascinating stories on the amazing number of small businesses in the US and their importance to the economy.)
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Citigroup agrees to buy Mexico’s 2nd largest bank
Citigroup continued the trend towards banks expanding internationally as it agreed to buy the Mexican Banamex for $12.5 billion. Banamex (also known as Banacci) is Mexico’s second largest banking group. The move may signal the end of the Mexican banking crises and even led the peso higher.
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JC Penney says has enough cash despite cut to junk
JC Penney is junk. Oh wait, that should have said their bonds are junk. Why? Now all of the top three bond rating agencies (Standard and Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch) have downgraded the retailer to junk status. The downgrades were due to poor sales at both the department store and their Eckerd Drug subsidiary. JC Penney officials predictably reiterated that the firm still has good access to the capital markets and they have enough cash to operate.
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The Palatable Stock Option Exchange Plan
Option repricing is a controversial topic. In the wake of the recent Bear Market many employees and managers have seen the value of their stock options evaporate. If the purpose of stock options is to align incentives with shareholders, then these “way-out-of-the-money” options have largely ceased to do their job. To realign incentives many firms are reissuing stock options. This however is often unpopular with shareholders who see it as a “win-win” situation for management (Management wins if stock prices rise, and wins if stock prices fall). However, some of these exchanges (known largely as 6&1 plans for the 6 months plus one day needed for the issuance of the new options to comply with FASB standards), have met shareholder approval. Two keys are a less than a 1:1 swap (so for each share given up, the employee/manager receives fewer than one share and a broad-based plan that does not just reprice executive stock options.
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Moody's sees 10 pct junk bond default rate by 2002
It is well known that the spreads between high rated and low rated bonds increases during slow economic times. Why? Consider this: currently the default rate for junk bond issuers is 7.5% or (9.2% by dollar volume). This is expected to climb slightly over the next year as Moody's forecasts a 10% default rate on Junk issues by early 2002. Moreover, currently 35% of the market is rated Caa (the lowest non-default rate given by Moody’s). This is compared to 13% in 1999 when the economy was stronger.
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"Irv the liqidator" Jacobs backs Conseco with ad
OK, so we know that analysts often feel intra-firm pressure to not issue sell recommendations because the investment banking side fears that they will lose business. Well you can also add to this by the pressure that analysts may face from shareholder. Case in point is Irwin Jacobs who went to the extreme of taking out an advertisement in the WSJ ridiculing a Salomon Smith Barney Stock analyst for his views on Conseco (a stock that Irwin owns a large stake in). Amazingly, the analyst has a neutral rating on the firm. Imagine if it had been a Sell!
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Salomon says H1 corp bond issuance to hit $355 bln
As the primary market for equity as slowed, Corporate bond offerings are on record pace. From convertibles to straight debt, firms are turning to the debt markets to offset slow equity sales and to take advantage of the lower (at least nominally) rates.
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Two more CSFB staffers confirmed as part of IPO probe
The investigation of CSFB continues as two more employees come under investigation for charging extra high commissions in return for shares in hot IPOs.
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FTSE collapse remains a mystery
On Monday did a mistake cause the FTSE to fall by over 100 points? It is possible. The BBC reports that an inadvertent sell order by Lehman Brothers may have caused the market to drop by over 100 points. Reportedly the seller erroneously moved the decimal a few places and rather than selling 3 million pounds worth of stock sold 300 million pounds of stock. The next AM it recovered. However I am somewhat skeptical as the article mentions low volume at the close and open which is patently false. At least in the US (and I would suspect elsewhere as well) those are the times of greatest volume.
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General Finance – Too broad to categorize
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in slightly lower than expectations at .1%. The core rate was in line with expectations at .2% for the month. The CPI (consumer price index) climbed a bit more (.4%) but most experts suggest that since the jump was largely in energy prices, that these announcements confirm that inflation is less a concern than the slowing economy and somewhat strengthened the Fed’s hand if they want to lower interest rates again. Additionally consumer confidence fell slightly for the month which may be a harbinger of continued sluggishness.
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ISC Launches E-Finance Resources Web Site

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