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In a March 22 teleconference, Lou Marcoccio, Year
2000 research director at the Gartner Group [http://gartner5.gartnerweb.com/], revealed a
growing trend in the way U.S. companies are thinking about -- and financing -- their Year
2000 programs.
Gartner Group analysts, said Marcoccio, are
seeing a rapid shift in the pattern of corporate Year 2000 spending. In 1997, just 5
percent of corporate I.T. budgets was being allocated to Year 2000 compliance efforts. But
in 1998, that percentage soared to between 15 and 30 percent. And with so many companies
racing to implement last-minute fixes, analysts predict that this year it will reach 20 to
40 percent.
In the beginning, the Y2K battle was fought and
funded mostly by corporate I.T. departments. But for large enterprises last year, the
biggest change in Year 2000 spending occurred in the category of non-I.T. projects (such
as business risk management and contingency planning). The Gartner Group estimates that in
1998, companies spent as much money on these projects as they did on remediation and other
I.T. programs. Similarly, Gartner Group research found that over the past year, in 38
percent of large companies, "ownership" of Year 2000 compliance underwent a
shift from I.T. management to business management. A year ago, only 5 percent of large
companies had begun to look beyond I.T.
This shift in focus can be seen as a response to
the severe time limitations companies are facing, with the millennium deadline less than
280 days away. Lack of time is forcing many companies to shorten the vital testing stage
of their Year 2000 programs, or worse, to forego it altogether. From now until Jan. 1,
2000, contingency planning must proceed hand-in-hand with the more technical job of
remediation.
Michael Erbschloe, director of research and
analysis at Computer Economics Inc. [http://www.computereconomics.com/], offered a
different explanation for the rise of non-I.T. Year 2000 spending. "In the beginning,
most companies thought that Year 2000 issues could be addressed and managed effectively
within their I.T. departments," he noted. "But now they're waking up to the fact
that Y2K needs to be managed across the whole enterprise."
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